Validate a novel target-disease hypothesis with a BVCT before committing to a Target Candidate Profile.
This chapter covers Part B of the FIC Targets workflow: taking the regulated hypothesis you confirmed in the Generator and validating it with a BioinvestGPT Virtual Clinical Trial (BVCT). Part A — exploring the knowledge graph and annotating up/down-regulated targets — is covered separately; this chapter picks up the moment you land in the Validator.
The Validator opens on the RoutePlanner with your disease and therapy pre-filled from the Generator. Set the two routing controls that define what kind of trial you are simulating:
| Control | Options | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| BVCT Type | ONGOING / PLANNING | ONGOING aligns the simulation to a trial already running; PLANNING designs a trial from scratch. |
| Purpose | VALIDATION / DISCOVERY | VALIDATION tests a specific hypothesis you already hold; DISCOVERY explores the response surface more broadly. |
Optionally paste an NCT ID to align the BVCT with a real registered clinical trial — useful when you want the virtual trial to mirror a competitor's protocol or an ongoing study.
Confirm that the pre-filled disease and therapy match the hypothesis you authored in the Generator. If anything looks wrong, return to the Generator rather than editing here — the regulated targets and literature travel as a package, and re-entering only the surface fields can desynchronise them from the underlying hypothesis.
Click "Continue" to generate patient strata. BVCT synthesizes 40+ de novo virtual patient subgroups from disease biology, your target mechanism, and the trial design — no real patient data is required. Each subgroup combination receives its own predicted effect size from causal simulation.
Because the strata are derived from the hypothesis itself, they reflect the specific up/down-regulation you encoded in the Generator: the subgroups most sensitive to your target mechanism surface with the largest predicted effects.
A genuinely novel target has, by definition, no prior trial history to mine. De novo synthesis lets you stratify around a mechanism that has never been dosed in patients — the simulation reasons from biology rather than retrofitting historical cohorts. This is the core of derisking before you commit to a Target Candidate Profile.
Standard ICH-compliant inclusion / exclusion criteria are auto-generated for the trial, including the special-population gates regulators expect to see:
The eligibility criteria define the population the protocol can enroll; the strata from the previous step define how that population is predicted to respond. Read them together: if your strongest-responding subgroup would be excluded by a standard organ-function or age gate, that is a design signal to widen the criteria or to reposition the indication.
Each patient stratum generates its own downloadable protocol card. Every card shows the four numbers that decide whether a stratum is worth running:
| Field | What it tells you |
|---|---|
| Stratum name | The virtual subgroup this protocol targets |
| Predicted effect size | The Hazard Ratio the causal simulation predicts for this stratum |
| Required sample size | Patients needed to power the trial at that effect size |
| Trial duration | Estimated time to read out |
Two actions sit on each card:
The predicted Hazard Ratio is the quantitative core of the derisking exercise. A favorable HR concentrated in a coherent, enrollable stratum is the evidence that turns a hypothesis into a Target Candidate Profile worth pursuing. Verify the cards that pass your bar; leave the rest unverified so they do not enter the transmitted package.
Once you have verified the protocols you want to advance, click "Approve Verified BVCT Protocols". The platform transmits the protocol package and confirms with "Transmission Finalized".
Only the protocols you marked Verify in the previous step are included — approval acts on the verified set, so unverified strata are left out of the transmitted package.
Transmission packages your approved, verified protocols as the validated output of this BVCT. From here the hypothesis has moved from an unproven idea on the knowledge graph to a quantified, stratified, protocol-backed candidate — the basis for committing to a Target Candidate Profile.
You can audit how BVCT predictions have held up against real outcomes on the prospective track record at data.bioinvestgpt.com.
To visualise the rationale behind a transmitted verdict back on the 3D knowledge graph, use the "Visualize Rationale" action in the BVCT result summary — it carries the trial drug, indication, and predicted effect size back into the Generator. To open the Validator directly for a future hypothesis, go to bvct.bioinvestgpt.com/#/validator.
BioinvestGPT BVCT Platform User Guide — Clinically Derisk FIC Targets (HYPOTHESIS). BVCT outputs are model-based decision-support analyses, not investment advice. Prospective track record: data.bioinvestgpt.com.